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June 22, 2005
City Salmon
Perhaps the best-known salmon runs in the world happen every summer in Seattle at the tourist- and locals-thronged Ballard Locks. Right now, sockeye salmon are climbing the concrete ladders that separate Puget Sound's saltwater from the fresh water of the ship canal that leads to Lake Washington and the spawning streams beyond. 657 fish made it through yesterday.
The Lake Washington sockeye must be the most urbane tech-savvy salmon anywhere. Departing young fish are jettisoned into the Sound through high-tech smolt slides. Upon their return, years later, some are tagged with sensors to measure water temperature. Others carry receivers that allow researchers to count how many make it out of the ship canal. And still others get receivers to measure the number that make it to spawning grounds. You can even watch a 30-second movie of them passing through the Locks. No doubt by next year, biologists will be giving them salmon-friendly i-pods.
But while researchers are predicting that 400,000 sockeye will swim through Seattle's urban heart this summer, they are increasingly worried about another major die-off, like the one that happened last year when roughly 200,000 salmon mysteriously died between the Locks and the spawning beds. The best available explanation is unseasonably warm water temperatures that resulted from warmer-than-average weather.
The route from the locks to the lake is thick with urban perils. But most problematic for the cold-water loving fish: the way is often shallow, narrow, and warm; and that warmth can weaken immune their systems and even kill the salmon outright. In fact, new research finds that Lake Washington surface-water temps have risen by about 4 degrees in the last 35 years; and most of that increase is attributed to hotter air. It's not surprising then that three of the four biggest salmon die-offs between the locks and the spawning grounds have occurred since 2000.
The sockeye, which may be suffering the effects of global warming, are Seattle's canaries in the coal mine of climate change. (If by canaries you mean fish, and by coal mine you mean waterways. But whatever.)
Posted by Eric de Place | Permalink
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Comments
I'd be interested to see whether the sfc temp increase is mostly due to hotter air, Eric.
Certainly the Urban Heat Island is expanding east. However, the canopy cover around the Lk Wash feeder streams is less than before, raising water temps as well. Concretization and canopy cover directly affect stream temps.
Best,
D
Posted by: Dano | Jun 22, 2005 7:11:17 PM
Hi Dano,
I have an offline question for you, but the email linked to your name ([email protected]) isn't working for me. Do you have another where you could be contacted?
Thanks, Elisa Murray
Northwest Environment Watch
Posted by: Elisa Murray | Jun 22, 2005 8:16:03 PM
Hey Dano-
You're right, of course, that impervious surface and canopy loss both increase water temps. I'm sure that's part of the problem. I got that fact from a Seattle Times article (linked to in the article). Here's the orginal text:
"Evidence has linked rising air temperatures in the Seattle area to increased surface-water temperatures in Lake Washington.
A 2004 study by University of Washington and King County researchers found that average summer surface-water temperatures have risen by about 4 degrees over a 35-year period, with air temperatures the strongest influence."
I see now that I wrote "most of the increase" in the post, which is not a strictly accurate way of portraying "the strongest influence." My bad. Nevertheless, rising air temperature does seem to be a principal culprit here.
Posted by: Eric de Place | Jun 23, 2005 8:49:35 AM
I didn't catch the significance of your link Eric - I should have followed it. I'm trying to run down the study to see what it said - 4 degrees is a lot out there. Certainly the UHI is making it warmer around here, and decreasing canopy cover contributes...hmmm...
D
Posted by: Dano | Jun 23, 2005 11:10:00 AM
D- Let me know what you find out. 4 degrees is a lot, but I'll bet it's not solely UHI effect. We've already seen a small temp increase due to global warming. And scientists at Climate Impacts Group are saying we'll see a 5.4 degree increase by 2050 (that's a NW average).
Posted by: Eric de Place | Jun 23, 2005 11:31:47 AM
Got it. You're right, Eric.
The source paper is:
Arhonditsis GB, Brett MT, DeGasperi CL, Schindler DE 2004. Effects of climatic variability on the thermal properties of Lake Washington. *Limnology and Oceanography* 49:1 pp. 256-270.
The paper states that long-term climatic trends have a secondary role in water temp increases, and "interannual variability dominated, with exceptions being net long-wave atmospheric radiation and surface-emitted radiation, for which the long-term trend explained ~25% and 53% of the total variance, respectively ".
The surface-emitted radiation would be from landcover changes (the authors say the UHI effects are negligible), which exacerbate the increased air temps brought on by changes in the PDO. The way we clear land to set our built environment is contributing to the effects.
Thanks for getting my brain moving, sir.
D
Posted by: Dano | Jun 23, 2005 11:35:52 AM
Water temperature had nothing to do with the disappearance of these fish. They were harvested by the Muckleshoots in the ship canal, and sent to Safeway!
If 200,000 salmon died in the lake or anywhere else, don't you think that the residents lining the shores of Lake Washington would have noticed? 200,000 dead fish would be a huge stinkin mess!
Too bad the WDFW is sweeping it under the carpet and turning a blind eye to overharvesting by our local Tribes.
Dont beleive everything you read in the newspaper.
Posted by: ryley | Jun 27, 2005 3:02:16 PM